October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

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October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby Squire » 07 Nov 2019, 20:38

The warmest October on record.

Climate change is accelerating and will certainly lead to extinction.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/11/05/earth-sizzles-through-october-another-month-ranks-warmest-record/

Earth sizzles through October as another month ranks as the warmest on record
This is the fifth straight month with record or near-record heat.

Global average surface temperature departures from average during October, when compared to 1981-2010 levels. (Copernicus Climate Change Service)
By Andrew FreedmanNovember 5

October was the warmest such month on record globally, narrowly edging out October 2015 for the top spot, according to a new analysis from the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service. The finding, released Tuesday, is significant because it shows that 2019 is certain to be one of the warmest years on record, continuing a trend scientists attribute to increasing amounts of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere due to human activities.

According to Copernicus, global average surface temperatures were 1.24 degrees above average when compared to the 1981-2010 average, and 0.02 degrees above the 2015 record. The month was a solid 0.2 degrees above the third-warmest October, which occurred in 2017.

During October, the Western United States and parts of Canada stood out for being cooler than average. However, temperatures were “markedly above average” over much of the Arctic, where sea ice extent hit a record low for the month. Europe was warmer than average, as was the Eastern United States and Canada, the Middle East and much of North Africa and Russia.

Parts of Brazil, Africa, Australia and Antarctica also saw temperatures that were well above average during the month, according to the Copernicus report.

The new data released Tuesday also sheds light on global average temperatures during the past 12 months, beginning in November 2018. Looking at this data helps climate scientists get a better idea of longer-term trends, since some of the natural variability gets smoothed out over time.

It finds that most of the Arctic, particularly central parts of Siberia, were far above average during the period. Parts of Alaska set mild temperature milestones during October as sea ice surrounding the state continued to be absent.

...

Other areas were above average, compared to the 1981-2010 period, including the Middle East, Australia, parts of the Antarctic, southern Africa and northeastern China.

When compared to preindustrial temperatures, monthly temperatures during the past 12 months have averaged about 2.1 degrees, or 1.2 Celsius, above the preindustrial level. The October monthly average temperature came in around that same departure from average as well.

This puts the planet perilously close to one of the temperature guardrails outlined in the Paris climate agreement, in which policymakers agreed to limit global warming to “well below” 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit, or 2 degrees Celsius, above preindustrial levels by 2100. The aspirational goal in the agreement is to hold temperatures to a 2.7-degree increase, or 1.5 Celsius, above preindustrial levels, which is a target that was pushed by the countries considered most vulnerable to climate impacts, such as small island nations.

Scientists say it’s technically feasible to meet the 2-degree target, but extremely difficult practically, given the present course of greenhouse gas emissions, political difficulties surrounding the issue — such as the impending U.S. departure from the Paris agreement — and the sheer magnitude of near-term emissions cuts it would require.

The October record is also noteworthy because it occurred in the absence of an El Niño event in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Such climate cycles, which involve interactions between the sea and atmosphere above it and can alter weather patterns thousands of miles away, tend to boost global average surface temperatures. The hottest year on record, 2016, took place amid a strong El Niño, for example.

Copernicus’s global temperature tracking adds to the data gathered by other groups, including NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which use independent data sets and various methods of analyzing global land and ocean temperatures. The temperature rankings of these agencies and others often differ slightly, though the underlying numbers tend to match up quite well.

One major reason for disagreements between the data sets concerns how each organization takes into account the rapidly warming but sparsely populated Arctic region.

All of the data sets show that the planet is warming at an average rate of about 0.32 degrees per decade, and has been since the late 1970s. They also each show that the planet’s warmest years have come since 2015.
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby HBS Guy » 08 Nov 2019, 06:44

Next week should see the NASA GISTemp data for October.

UAH6 has Oct at 0.46*C above the 1981-2010 baseline. That means it is well above 0.46°C above such a baseline. The deniers running that series said July was not the hottest July but they had to make August much hotter than July to keep in some sort of tenuous touch with reality—the others had August as not being exceptional.
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby Bongalong » 08 Nov 2019, 08:06

Neven will surely give birth to a cow!
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby HBS Guy » 08 Nov 2019, 15:07

Who is Neven?
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby Bongalong » 08 Nov 2019, 17:04

HBS Guy wrote:Who is Neven?

You know exactly who he is!
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby johnsmith » 08 Nov 2019, 19:36

was 40 fucken degrees today ... and it's still early November

I'm not looking forward to summer
FD.
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby DonDeeHippy » 09 Nov 2019, 04:39

johnsmith wrote:was 40 fucken degrees today ... and it's still early November

I'm not looking forward to summer

yup wasn't fun working today...……. :tweed
Bongalong... for some reason women are just so superior to anything that ever existed or will ever exist!
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby HBS Guy » 09 Nov 2019, 08:33

I was cold at night in Clare—hadn’t packed a jumper!



:rofl :rofl :rofl
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby pinkeye » 09 Nov 2019, 22:18

Maties.. this is really BAD news.
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby HBS Guy » 10 Nov 2019, 07:50

We are in the very front row for AGW.

Reforestation needs to begin NOW! That will help rainfall—biogenic molecules is what causes water vapor to condense, not fucking Cosmic Rays! Also provide habitat etc, many ecological services.

Really wonder if we should not have Lake Eyre permanently flooded
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby pinkeye » 10 Nov 2019, 22:32

You live in the same fantasy as so many others, in that you think NOW is the time to DO SOMETHING about Climate Change.

Sorry MATE
Too late
your Tassie dream
will never
be real.

Hard to face these facts isn't it.? Eh?
sleeping is good for you
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby HBS Guy » 11 Nov 2019, 05:43

We should have started in the 1990s, I know that very well. But look at the growth of rooftop solar, of EVs. Why give up without even trying? Wail when you have something to wail about, not before!

I will live out my life comfortably. Strawbale house, hoping to encourage more strawbale building, locking up carbon, living low energy consumption life and planting trees, 32 so far, another 16 at least next year.

My great nieces/nephews I am not so sure about.
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby HBS Guy » 11 Nov 2019, 05:58

As an example:

Fall of Berlin Wall:
It was the night of November 9, 1989.
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby pinkeye » 11 Nov 2019, 22:53

HBS Guy wrote:We should have started in the 1990s, I know that very well. But look at the growth of rooftop solar, of EVs. Why give up without even trying? Wail when you have something to wail about, not before!

I will live out my life comfortably. Strawbale house, hoping to encourage more strawbale building, locking up carbon, living low energy consumption life and planting trees, 32 so far, another 16 at least next year.

My great nieces/nephews I am not so sure about.


I haven't given up.. no way.
I , like you, hope that my small footprint will somehow increase the longevity, and viability, of living on a bush block in Australia.

But massive wildfires don't spare the well-intentioned. These fires are a major wake-up call. If this doesn't do it, nothing will.

And yet we have senior pollies still refusing to grasp the importance of this.

Forget your fruit trees and vege patch... Try gardening in dust. With no water. A nightmare to be sure.
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby HBS Guy » 12 Nov 2019, 06:09

I will be alright in Tassie tho it will get warmer and drier like the rest of the southern half of the continent. No bushfires my way, maybe some grass fires that I will prepare for, passive and active defences—fire retardent plants, gravel mulch plus sprinklers etc.

https://www.fire.tas.gov.au/publications/1709%20Brochure.pdf
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Re: October as another month ranks as the warmest on record

Postby pinkeye » 12 Nov 2019, 23:54

Yes I really understand your goal.

I wish you all the best.

If you are in NW Tassie, you are likely to have precipitation from the westerlies coming across from lows in the Southern Ocean. It is an appealing idea I must admit.

BUT, nothing is certain in this life. Good Luck Monk, and I mean that with all sincerity.
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